NYT: 4 scenarios for Ukraine's future after the war.
Analysis of possible scenarios for the future war in Ukraine
According to Rajan Menon, the war in Ukraine is reaching a critical point, and the likelihood of a peace agreement is higher than ever before. He also notes that the Ukrainian army is gradually losing its positions, while Russia is gaining control over territories. President Zelensky expressed his concern and acknowledged that there are not enough forces to reclaim all occupied territories.
According to survey results, the majority of Ukrainians support negotiations for a quick end to the war.
Rajan Menon proposed four possible scenarios that may take place after the war. The first option is joining NATO, but this may be unrealistic as some alliance countries do not support this move. The second option is the creation of a 'coalition of the willing', but this idea cannot succeed without U.S. support. The third option is for Europe to take the lead in ensuring Ukraine's security. The fourth scenario is that Ukraine becomes an 'armed neutral' country that does not belong to any bloc.
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